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Publications

Peer-reviewed, forthcoming, and other publications by Jorge Roa in public health, epidemiology, cancer screening, and cost-effectiveness analysis.

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Journal cover: The Lancet Regional Health Western Pacific, volume 74, September 2026

Trends in Helicobacter pylori prevalence, force of infection, and attributable disease burden in China: a systematic review and Bayesian modelling study
The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific
Sun, D., Han, W., Alarid-Escudero, F., Roa-Contreras, J.A., Wang, S., Mülder, D.T., Huang, R.J., Ladabaum, U., Spaander, M.C.W., Camargo, M.C., Park, J.Y., Chen, W., Lansdorp-Vogelaar, I., Hontelez, J.A.C.
Sep 10, 2026

Cover of The Lancet Public Health — 2026 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change

The 2026 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: narrowing window for decisive health action
The Lancet Public Health
Kriit, H.K., Chen-Xu, J.C., Semenza, J.C., Roa-Contreras, J.A., Tonne, C., Rocklöv, J.
Apr 21, 2026

Cover of Gastroenterology — commentary on screening follow-up

The best screening test is the one that gets followed up on
Gastroenterology
van den Berg, D.M.N., Brück, C.C., Nascimento de Lima, P., Alarid-Escudero, F., Hahn, A.I., Lansdorp-Vogelaar, I., Colorectal Working Group of CISNET [incl. Roa, J.]
Feb 23, 2026

Cover of The Lancet — 2025 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change

The 2025 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
The Lancet
Romanello, M., Walawender, M., Hsu, S.-C., Roa, J., Costello, A.
Dec 13, 2025

Cover of The Lancet Regional Health – Americas — global Helicobacter pylori seroprevalence trends

Birth cohort and age-specific trends in global Helicobacter pylori seroprevalence: A scoping review
The Lancet Regional Health - Americas
Taylor, C.S., McMahon, M.V., Ward, Z.J., Alarid-Escudero, F., Camargo, M.C., Laszkowska, M., Roa, J., Yeh, J.M.
Jan 1, 2025

Cover of The Lancet Regional Health – Americas — Helicobacter pylori infection in the United States

Helicobacter pylori infection in the United States beyond NHANES
The Lancet Regional Health - Americas
McMahon, M.V., Taylor, C.S., Ward, Z.J., Alarid-Escudero, F., Camargo, M.C., Laszkowska, M., Roa, J., Yeh, J.M.
Jan 1, 2025

Cover: IEEE conference proceedings

From searches to sneezes: Evaluating digital indicators for allergic rhinitis surveillance in the United Kingdom
IEEE BigData 2024
Manohara, K., Jankin, S., Bousquet, J., Garcia-Corral, P., Roa, J., Béchara, H., Sousa-Pinto, B.
Dec 15, 2024

Cover of MDM Policy & Practice — COVID-19 holiday-contact policy modeling study

Dependence of COVID-19 Policies on End-of-Year Holiday Contacts in Mexico City
MDM Policy & Practice
Alarid-Escudero, F., Gracia, V., Luviano, A., Roa, J., Peralta, Y., Reitsma, M.B., Claypool, A.L., Salomon, J.A., Studdert, D.M., Andrews, J.R., Goldhaber-Fiebert, J.D.
Oct 11, 2021
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Forthcoming Publications

Jean-Léon Gérôme — Pollice Verso (1872)

Modeling the impact of mass testing and eradication strategies of Helicobacter pylori in the United States
Preprint — The Lancet Regional Health – Americas (SSRN)
Kaufmann, M.B., Roa, J., Yeh, J.M., Goldhaber-Fiebert, J.D., Alarid-Escudero, F.
Nov 7, 2025

Cover image — race-specific Helicobacter pylori force-of-infection estimates

Who acquires Helicobacter pylori in the United States—and when? Age at infection by race, ethnicity, and birthplace
Under revision — Helicobacter
Roa, J., Peralta, Y., McMahon, M., Taylor, C., Ward, Z.J., Camargo, M.C., Yeh, J., Alarid-Escudero, F.
Jan 1, 2025
No matching items

Conference & Policy Papers

Thomas Cole — The Voyage of Life: Manhood (1842)

Accurate uncertainty quantification in Bayesian calibration accounting for correlated targets
SMDM 47th Annual Meeting
Roa, J., Gracia, V., Goldhaber-Fiebert, J.D., Alarid-Escudero, F.
Jun 15, 2025

Poster cover — hierarchical Bayesian meta-analysis of Helicobacter pylori, SMDM Europe conference

A Hierarchical Bayesian Meta-Analytic Helicobacter Pylori (H. pylori) Infection Generator for the U.S. Population
Poster — SMDM 18th Biennial European Conference, Berlin, Germany
Roa, J.
Oct 22, 2023

Cover image — analysis of Mexico's open vaccination data (Animal Politico)

¿Qué tan abiertos son los “datos abiertos” de vacunación en México?
Animal Político — El Contagio
Velázquez, S., Roa, J., Padilla, A., Alarid-Escudero, F.
Jun 23, 2021

Cover image — drug-policy implementation analysis (Animal Politico)

De la corte a las calles: La complejidad en la implementación de la nueva regulación de la mariguana
Animal Político — El Dispensario
Roa, J.
Jun 5, 2021

José Chávez Morado — La Marcha (1940)

Homicides in Mexico: Two Decades of Evolution
Programa de Política de Drogas — Policy Brief
Peralta, Y., Roa, J., Miranda, A., Alarid-Escudero, F.
Jan 1, 2021

Antonio Ruiz "El Corcito

La tendencia de los homicidios en México durante la pandemia por COVID-19
Programa de Política de Drogas — Policy Brief
Peralta, Y., Roa, J., Alarid-Escudero, F.
Jan 1, 2021

José María Velasco — El Citlaltépetl visto desde Maltrata (1883)

Analizando el Indicador Estatal Covid de Aguascalientes: ¿Realmente es útil?
LJA.mx — Opinión
Roa, J.
Dec 14, 2020

Édouard Manet — The Execution of Emperor Maximilian (1867)

La geografía de la violencia: presencia de grupos criminales en México
Animal Político — El Dispensario
Roa, J.
Jun 3, 2020
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